Echo Meadows Analytical Report

As of 2026-10-18. 2012 Sundays on record, 1970-12-27 to 2026-10-18.

Sunday morning 2012 wk (1970–2026) · Sunday evening 1610 wk (1970–2026) · Wednesday 1405 wk (1970–2026) · Giving 1786 wk (1970–2026)

Sunday morning attendance is about the same as a year ago.

How much of the congregation comes to more than Sunday morning is about where it was a year ago.

Giving is $6,674 behind budget after 42 weeks of the year.

Worth watching: Nursery and PreK together are down 43% on a year ago. The youngest classes are where the next decade shows up first.

Attendance

107 166 225 2023 2024 2025 2026

Thin line: each Sunday. Thick line: 52-week average. Breaks in either are weeks with no record, left as breaks.

Now, 52-week average 177 from 50 wk
1 year ago 180 about the same
3 years ago 179 about the same
5 years ago 181 2% down since

Commitment

Bible class against morning worship 58% level
Sunday evening against Sunday morning 47% 13% up
Wednesday against Sunday morning 37% level

Share of Sunday morning, now against a year ago.

Children

PreK 3
K-1 6
2-3 4
4-5 7
6th 4
Teens 24

Nursery and PreK together: 3, 43% down on a year ago.

K-1 in 2024 → 2-3 two years on: 89% (44–133%), from 5 recorded Sundays — too few to lean on.

2-3 in 2024 → 4-5 two years on: 108% (52–164%), from 5 recorded Sundays — too few to lean on.

Giving

Year to date, after 42 weeks: $258,532 against a budget of $265,206 — $6,674 behind.

Over the same weeks of the year, 2026 is running $6,156 a week against 2025's $5,843 — 5% ahead of it.

Like for like: every year cut at the same day, so the comparison is not ten months of this year against twelve of last. December gives about twice what January does, so a part-year read against whole years shows a fall that is really the absence of Christmas.

Giving per person in the pew: $37.90 a week, about the same as a year ago. Giving per attender is in 2026 dollars at prices to 2026-08, so figures from different years are comparable.

Setting the 2027 budget

On 2022-2025, a 2027 budget of $5,311 a week has about a 75% chance of being met. That is $1,003 below the budget in effect now.

WeeklyFor the year Chance of being met
$5,528 $287,470 about 50%
$5,311 $276,182 about 75%
$4,977 $258,819 about 90%

A budget is a commitment, so the choice is not symmetric: set at the middle figure it is roughly a coin flip whether the year ends short. Figures are what giving can be relied on to reach, not what should be spent.

What recent years actually gave

YearGiven a week Budget setOutcome
2026 $6,156 $6,314 missed by $159
2025 $6,172 $6,434 missed by $263
2024 $6,268 $5,959 met
2023 $6,818 $5,374 met
2022 $4,947 $4,909 met

Weekly averages over the recorded Sundays of each year, against the budget in effect at its end.

Notes

Why the figures moved

The first two pages are what the numbers are. These are the five analyses that bear on why, and on what the archive can and cannot settle.

Where the giving year actually sits

Against an average week of $6,072: December runs 185% of it and September 79%.

January $4,832 80%
February $5,464 90%
March $5,850 96%
April $6,265 103%
May $7,715 127%
June $5,188 85%
July $5,017 83%
August $5,805 96%
September $4,793 79%
October $5,370 88%
November $6,934 114%
December $11,227 185%

Mean giving per Sunday in each month over the last five years, as a share of the average week. A shortfall in September is the calendar, not the congregation — and a year-to-date figure read in October has not yet had its December.

Which moved: the budget, or the giving

Since 2022 the budget has been raised 29% and giving has moved 24%.

YearGiven a week Budget setDifference
2026 $6,156 $6,314 −$159
2025 $6,172 $6,434 −$263
2024 $6,268 $5,959 +$309
2023 $6,818 $5,374 +$1,444
2022 $4,947 $4,909 +$39

Being behind budget has two causes and they need different answers. If the budget rose faster than giving, the budget is the thing that moved.

Fifty-three years, in comparable dollars

In 2026 dollars, weekly giving has gone from $13,505 in 1973 to $6,156 now. Per person in the pew it has gone from $32.29 to $34.55.

YearOn Sunday Given a week In 2026 dollars Per person
1973 418 $1,808 $13,505 $32.29
1976 472 $2,314 $13,491 $28.57
1977 448 $2,924 $16,002 $35.69
1981 380 $3,225 $11,767 $30.97
1983 413 $3,680 $12,253 $29.68
1996 322 $4,147 $8,766 $27.21
2003 317 $5,772 $10,404 $32.82
2004 326 $6,063 $10,644 $32.67
2005 315 $6,400 $10,868 $34.53
2006 309 $6,381 $10,497 $33.93
2007 292 $6,034 $9,651 $33.04
2008 297 $5,703 $8,785 $29.62
2014 253 $5,777 $8,094 $31.97
2015 237 $5,813 $8,135 $34.32
2016 226 $5,416 $7,484 $33.19
2022 165 $4,947 $5,607 $34.07
2023 181 $6,818 $7,421 $41.06
2024 177 $6,268 $6,627 $37.49
2025 180 $6,172 $6,358 $35.33
2026 178 $6,156 $6,156 $34.55

CPI-U, prices to 2026-08. Only years with enough recorded Sundays on both sides of the division appear. The last two columns are the same arithmetic and a different conclusion: read the real total alone and generosity collapsed, read it per person and it did not move.

The other two services, in people

ServiceNow vs 1 yrvs 3 yr vs 5 yr
Sunday morning 177 −1% −1% −2%
Sunday evening 84 +11% +2% —
Wednesday 64 −4% −15% −2%

52-week averages. The first two pages carry these only as shares of Sunday morning, and a share holds steady while both of its halves fall.

Whether the events brought anyone who stayed

EventTimes Usual SundayOn the day Eight weeks on
VBS 3 162 +10 +21
Teensgiving 2 181 +9 −11
Move Up Sunday 3 183 +4 −2
Corn Maze 2 184 +3 —
Clean Your Streams 2 185 −6 −4

Sunday morning attendance against the trailing eight-week average before the event, and again eight weeks after it. The second column is the one that matters: a busy Sunday is easy, and a busy Sunday that is still there in two months is what the event was for.